My favorite holiday, Week 1 NFL Sunday baby. We’re so back, and the bankroll is ready to be fired across the board for 8 straight hours. Gonna keep this short and sweet, lets dive into my predictions and my favorite play (or plays) for each game Week 1. #GoPackGo

12PM SLATE

Bears take on the Panthers to start the day, and I honestly love the lines for this game. I don’t think Ben Johnson will roll over against this Panthers team on the road to open the year. Give me Chicago to win 27-17, taking control early and keeping time of possession in their favor for 4 straight quarters.

My Picks: Bears -3 (-118 DK) for 4u. Going to play Chicago -3 pretty heavy to open up the day, one of my more confident plays of the week here. Coach Tales already 1/1 on the day after what feels like a blowout win.

The Saints take a trip up to Detroit for Week 1. I really do like this Saints team this upcoming season, but Week 1 they’re gonna get cracked in the mouth. Detroit wins 40-23, Gibbs feasts in every aspect of this game and Goff has a Top 5 performance of his career here. The Saints will hand around but that Detroit offense is going to be way too much to handle off rip.

My Picks: Tyler Shough O16.5 Rush Yards (-113 DK) for 1u. Shough has some wheels on his and I think this line is way too low for this caliber of a game. Shough, give me 2 scrambles, that’s it.

This game just reeks. Jags by a million lmao. The Browns may be the only team to be shut out Week 1, while the Jaguars have a field day on this Cleveland defense. Jags win 34-9, Tuten finds the end zone, T-Law finishes 20/23 passing and 3 TD’s, that’s it.

My Picks: Bhayshul Tuten 50+ Rush Yards (-107 DK) for 1u. Not really a whole lot I like this game other than Tuten getting some solid touches to start the year. Most likely going to use this pick for my player-prop parlay.

I’ll cut straight to the chase, Indy wins this outright. Indy’s offense goes absolutely nuclear against a soft Raven’s defense, making it almost impossible for Lamar and company to keep up. Indy wins 23-20. This is our colts, this is our team, we bleed blue. Shout out The Flow.

My Picks: Colts +3.5 (-115 DK) for 2u, sprinkling 0.5u on Colts ML (+145 DK). JT runs all over this Ravens defense, Daniel Jones looks like he hasn’t missed a step, and the Colts defense comes up big in crunch time.

I was informed yesterday afternoon that Cooper Rush will be leading the Falcons into Pittsburgh? That’s all I needed to hear. Steelers win 27-13, Rodgers and McCarthy are back in business for the final ride. In my opinion, the only way the Falcons keep this close is giving Bijan Robinson at least 40 touches lmao.

My Picks: Steelers -6 (-110 DK) for 2u, Aaron Rodgers 2+ Passing TD’s (+117 DK) for 0.5u

This game feels so weird to me. The Texans have a Top 3 (if not the best) defense in the entire league and gave Josh Allen hell in their matchup last season. My heart wants to go Bills, but my brain says its Texans. If Texans win, it’ll be 17-13. If the Bills win, it’ll be 24-14.

My Picks: Khalil Shakir 4+ Receptions (-124 DK) for 1u. Don’t like much this game but I think Allen will feed Shakir in big time spots. Onto the next game.

Bucs vs Bengals might be barn-burner of the year. Bengals take week 1 38-34. Baker and Burrow combine for 600+ yards in the air and 6+ passing TD’s. Both QB’s will have similar stat lines, but Burrow will have the edge when the clock hits 0:00.

My Picks: Ja’Marr Chase 8+ Receptions (+113 DK) for 1u. I like the over in this game but will not be playing it. Instead, I will be taking Burrow to find the best receiver in the league at least 8 times across 4 quarters of football.

Not sure what to put here. Both teams have been atrocious over the last handful of seasons, but Geno and company will make a statement to begin the season. Jets win 23-10.

My Picks: Jets ML (+102). I really like NY in this spot, not enough to place my hard earned coin on tho lol.

3PM SLATE

Chargers vs Cardinals is going to be one of the better games across this Sunday slate. Chargers have finally put together some missing pieces within their organization, while the Cardinals are in a fresh state of mind. I think the Cardinals make this game a lot closer than what Vegas thinks, but not close enough to take it home. Chargers win 28-20.

My Picks: Ladd McConkey 5+ Receptions (-141 DK). This will be another leg added to the player prop parlay, not going to play it straight up but still love it.

Not too sure how this game will turn out, but I like the Eagles at home Week 1. Give me Philly to win 24-13 in a game controlled by Saquon Barkley. Enough said.

My Picks: Saquon ATTD (-120 DK) 1u. Again, not much I like here other than Saquon letting his feet do the work. I like his rush yards, but I like him to find the end zone a little better.

I honestly have no idea how the Packers are +2.5 to this Vikings team. Even with Jacobs and Parsons out of commission for a while, the Packers are going to walk into Minnesota and remind everyone who really runs sh*t around here. Packers win 31-17, JLove throws for 275 yards and 3 TD’s while MarShawn Lloyd finally shows what he’s about. #GoPackGo

My Picks: Packers ML (+110 DK) for 3u. I’d love to toss some coin around on player props here but I’m already going to be invested in watching the Packers put belt-to-ass for 60 minutes, so just the ML.

Most likely staying away from this game, won’t be watching it anyways because my boys will be on. Give me the Dolphins to take the W 20-14 in a very slow game.

My Picks: De’Von Achane ATTD (+100 DK). Might put this into a little parlay but not playing straight up. Achane will dominate on every part of offense and will need 30+ touches for this Dolphins team to win, so we’re going with ATTD.

7:20PM GAME

I love this as the first SNF game of the year. Dallas wins this game 34-20, the Giants wont be able to keep up with Dak and that offense. Dak will throw for 3 TD’s, 275 passing yards, and may rush one in as well.

My Picks: Dallas -3 (-105 DK) for 3u. I love -3 right here, might add some Dak props later tonight but for right now it’s just -3. YEAHHHHH, HERE WE GOOOO.

 

That’s my Week 1 slate. Agree or disagree, the picks are in — now it’s time to sit back, crack open some brewskis w the fellas, and watch the coin duplicate in my DK account. Have a day!

~ Coach Tales